Long time, China has been carrying out for 3G, "to follow up, first experiment, develop the market in support of development" following guiding principles, with rigorous and pragmatic attitude towards 3G, 3G to avoid bubbles appeared in China.Meanwhile, the Chinese government 3G concerns have been positive attitude, attention to every step of the international 3G progress into the 3G era for the Chinese to prepare timely.Hard to say when China Fafang 3G licenses, but the entire international community, 3G changes, as China's 3G development and is closely related, we can say, from the Government departments to research institutions, are closely watching the 3G market changes.We also know the technology, degree of maturity and market demand has been a hurdle to be crossed 3G.
Not long ago, in South Korea held the Third Global Summit on CDMA operators, many industry professionals accepted our interview, from their discourse, we can clearly felt in the world, 3G is being stepped overbridge.
Jing Wang, chairman of Qualcomm Greater China: 3G in the application of mature
What is 3G mature?How to see?Not just one that will be able to draw conclusions.From the application of 3G in the world, from the user scale, ranging from the scale commercial deployment of carriers, from the business end of the scale, there are operators in ARPU and data ARPU value of the share of value in view.From various point of view, 3G is ripe.
With other 3G technologies, and other mass consumption of any kind of technology and products, is in practice in the market, in the business of maturing.You can also say to wait another decade it immature.So-called mature, is an evolving process that is in the business, in the user's experience before Yibubuxiang constantly evolving, can not sit there and wait until maturity.
Such as CDMA2000 go EV-DO, EV-DO type modified version of next year out, the uplink and downlink speeds can be up to 2 trillion or more.Qualcomm recently announced multicast to do - in the EV-DO technology, based on multi-function to play, in fact, the EV-DO Rev A further optimization step forward on the basis of.
3G applications are now very good, watching movies, watching TV, live at any time, choose which units can be.But the cost will be higher, why?Current technology is one-way player, for example, you need to choose a TV service, the user is locked by the system operator immediately to you play, but we now called the Multicast, and more to play there soon to see the FLO, the technology isWhat is it?Operators using this technology since the introduction of Multicast, you can play to a large number of users simultaneously, not one-way player, is a multi-point, in fact, the cost of this service is much lower.For example, a network inside a low cost, that all the players, so you can choose when to use, you do not does not matter, it did not take up your channel, so the cost will be significantly reduced and will further promote3G business forward, and reduce costs, provide more efficient services.This multi-play services to, CDMA2000 and WCDMA can be used.In this way, technology will continue to move forward in the evolution of the commercial, so 3G is not mature debate is a completely empty concept, no real significance.
3G data applications, large TV applications can be compared.I remember 80 years of the 20th century, we go to college and started watching TV ads above the small, even if advertising is also very rigid, then basically read the news, Chinese women's volleyball game.Now you open the China Central Television, you look very colorful advertising, channel very much.Why?It is a continuous process of development, mature in the application.You can not wait here all the applications the so-called terminal and mature later on, right?The key is that you wait here, someone else is to continue the former leader.
I think this is a big conceptual error, the error can be extended to the concept of policy errors, did not see the world the development of 3G applications.At the 3rd Summit of CDMA operators around the world has come to a conclusion that, in the 3G era, or follow-up, lead, or to fall behind.If you continue to delay 3G in China, continue to hesitate, no clear policy of transparency, and we do not know who is not licensed when licensed, who issued the license.This is a very serious consequence derived from the Chinese manufacturers and operators is very negative.
To the end of September 2004 to date, the world has 100 million 3G users to 32 million, of which 100 million CDMA2000 1X is 13 million users, 67 operators worldwide have deployed CDMA2000 1X network.On this basis, the evolution from 1X to EV-DO, 9 global operators have deployed, mainly in South Korea, Japan and the United States representative.The number of users reached 9.3 million, of which 500 million users in Korea.WCDMA to 9 to reach 11 million end users worldwide, 38 commercial WCDMA operators.3G terminals to the September date 563 worldwide, of which 66 models are 1XEV-DO commercial terminal, WCDMA terminals to market soon to 51 models, the rest is CDMA20001X commercial terminal.
CDMA Development Group Founder, Chairman & Executive Director Perry: Some turning point in technology
Several critical points have to, the first point is that we see a sound decoder, I think, when it was developed is the first important point.Why is it that is particularly important, because it can help operators provide very high quality voice services, in this technique is proposed after the first time it caused a CDMA relatively large-scale development in the world.
The second important turning point in the CDMA2000 1X technology, because technology CDMA2000 1X 3G services to market can prove successful in the global launch, CDMA2000 1X technology demonstrated to us, operators can provide 3G services with a lot of money.Its meaning is not only important to CDMA operators, and on the entire wireless communications industry is very important, I think it is also on the global economy contributed to the development.With the coming of 3G era, we see the next wave of development, these techniques are based on CDMA technology-based, we will see some of the GSM-based technology is based on CDMA technology to be replaced.
The rapid development of CDMA worldwide, we also see whether it is equipment manufacturers or operators, including ZTE, Huawei, as well as China Unicom, are in the market, there is a great opportunity, the business opportunities on the Chinese economy hassignificant contribution, for ordinary consumers and the global communications industry is very important.
The first sound decoder, to provide high-definition in 1994, when the call; the second point is that in 1999 the development of CDMA2000 1X technology; third in 2004 to see more and more to the global GSM-based technologyis based on CDMA technology to be replaced.
China Unicom chairman and president Wang (interview office): 3G development should be a smooth transition
Personally, I think so.We see the world from the current situation, whether it is CDMA EV-DO, or WCDMA, or UMTS, or other name, should be said that gradually entered a mature stage - can only just begun.
This technology is simply the beginning can not use.Now it is clear that both EV-DO or just the WCDMA, in different regions have begun to have practical application.And in the future BUSINESS MODEL (business model) what will happen, and now very hard to say.From this meeting, the exchange situation, in fact, go in both directions, a bias towards business customers, commercial customers in fact it is wireless Internet access, in particular, VERIZON, it launched the EV-DO, it is the most importantThe goal is on the card.It is commonly used in North America, because few people holding a North American mobile Internet access, he must take a laptop computer, laptop computer inside the card inserted into one of our, then the speed quickly, this is a trend, VERIZON, as a typical one.
The second is the entertainment, the more obvious in Japan and South Korea.It's hard to tell between a 2G with the killer application for 3G, is the obvious boundaries, whether for business or pleasure now these two things are hard to see a line.It is not so obvious between the 1G with 2G, one analog, one digital, the user is not the same one used.This thing is also the Internet, nothing more than a little faster; also download some games, just a little faster.Faced with this evolution of the user to upgrade to gradually understand and experience.At some point, you will say: "We now have a 3G!" We hope to do it this way, we do not want to make 1G, 2G, 2.5G, "black" about 3G - and we want our customersslowly discovered that I have finally realized, is a 3G user.
In North America, mainly commercial rather biased towards, and in Japan and South Korea is rather biased towards entertainment, our idea of what China Unicom, the two are indeed trying to combine, as you look from the situation in our country, the first is from a commercialuser point of view, it has great demand for wireless data.PC card after the sale, a large number of business people in the computer began to plug in the card of our Internet.I think that is the Internet the laptop computer market in China will be very large, do not underestimate this market, whether you send messages or something, this market will be great, we have with Lenovo, with other domestic productionBusiness, international co-producers did, and now the concept is necessary to access the computer, then we want to be considered the computer to the wireless Internet, why?Because the laptop itself is to bring before buying, or else buy a desktop, then your laptop computer to the Internet is to use the wireless network card, and the current fast development of other technologies, such as the Wi-Fi and other technologiesBut now, the cellular mobile communication technology is still relatively stable, because it is a wide area network, the other is LAN, WAN this is a thing, so this market can not be underestimated.We also developed a number of industry-specific applications, such as positioning, such as marine fisheries positioning, promotion very quickly now, it is not any of the facilities, just take a CDMA 1X mobile phones, the headquarters of the boat to know what position you, this becomes a reality, not the mouth said, would have a lot of positioning system, but it needs to have a device, to a satellite link, and now do not want anything, just a phone based on the know, this is a commercial sexapplications, to the mountain after which it faster rate, become even easier to check, so this one in the Chinese market must be huge.
This is a piece of entertainment is mainly aimed at young people should be said, the number is great, I think China, entertainment, and positioning should focus on the development of these two are, this is my idea, I can not row which prioritywhich is not preferred.In addition, we also hope to develop some people's lives have to rely on, and why the development of wireless data to the present or too small, we feel far below its capacity, not to mention 3G, and we want to make itnecessary for people's lives, because life is not necessary to play the game, as the Internet is not necessary, I may not use the phone to the Internet, then we must find a way to make people think I left the wireless data services, we can not survive, and nowis doing everything possible to do in this direction.
President of Qualcomm Global Development Jeff. Jacobs: CDMA operators are becoming the center of attention
In the United States is now the leading technology is CDMA, the United States more than 50% of mobile users are CDMA users in the last quarter, adding 70% of mobile users which is used in CDMA, the United States the two largest CDMA carriers Sprint andVerizon regarded their network upgrade to CDMA 2000 1X EV-DO.The Sprint network upgrade, making the U.S. market has undergone some fundamental changes, I think that a similar change in the Chinese market is also a reference value.The benefits of 3G networks, including to the Sprint and other CDMA operators to bring benefits to enable them to upgrade there are two main considerations, the first voice services can enhance the capacity, they can charge lower user's voice, at the same timecan continue to profit; the second data service can be enhanced to reduce the cost of data services.
Since the emergence of the latest developments for the U.S. market Cingular GSM operators that the company has created an enormous pressure, they first deployed GSM network, then the GPRS network, EDGE network to their original deployment, Verizon and when they seeSprint's move to upgrade their CDMA networks and upgrade their networks to EV-DO after the move to stop the concern for the EDGE, and more attention placed on WCDMA, HSDPA in particular, placed on top, so I thinkThe development of the U.S. market is a reference to China's market value.China Mobile is now evaluating whether to be launched EDGE networks, because they first have GSM, then the GPRS, the GPRS network Dangzhong Yidong of China did not receive a great success, if they want to deploy EDGE network, then, will make a hugeinvestment, once the 3G licenses issued after the EV-DO network in China are certainly higher than their networks more competitive, if that happens, China Mobile EDGE network just to make a great investment for the future, they immediately do an investment in their networksupgrade to WCDMA, so China Mobile is also measured by how to make this decision, is not to do two repeat investment.It is also for this reason and many other important reasons, so the issuance of 3G licenses sooner the better.
South Korea's three main operators have deployed CDMA2000 networks, the three of them the two largest SKT and KTF have been upgraded to CDMA2000 1X network.So for the South Korean operators, not only their very successful voice networks, their data services are also very well done, their data APRU is now quite high.Early in their main data service users to download some simple games and ringtones, and now has grown to download video clips and other multimedia content such as songs, music videos, including news, radio, soap operas and variety entertainmentcontent, 1xEV-DO network enables operators accepted by businesses in both the general user acceptance can be provided under the price of new applications.Korea and Japan are now very successful use of the service can be successful in China, but to be successful in China, then we need to spend some time, you first need to optimize the network, a corresponding mobile terminal, the use and developersgroups, all of these in place also need to spend some time.
For the case of South Korea but also to add that South Korea is the world's first CDMA network in the country for rapid deployment, and they enable mobile phone manufacturers in Korea and soon in the CDMA mobile phone production results achieved economies of scale, and their performance morerich, low-cost mobile phone export to the world, 5 to 10 years ago no one had heard of Samsung, LG or Curitel cell phones, now they have become the world's leading mobile phone brands.For China, South Korea's development of a reference value, if China can quickly deployed and widely 部署 WCDMA network, and on their mobile phone manufacturers like South Korea as also achieve economies of scale, then, by understanding the needs of users around the world quicklyto regard China's mobile phone export to the world, there will be the same success, if you do not do so, South Korea, the U.S. mobile phone manufacturers Chizao and Chinese mobile phone manufacturers in the competition to prevail, so the mobile phone manufacturers to develop from the local perspectivesaid, 3G licenses should be issued earlier.
Japan's market is very interesting, just started, like Japan, like China Telecom has used a very wide range of PHS and PDC networks, but the Japanese are the three major operators, DoCoMo, Vodafone and KDDI have been using the 3G technology, and they did somost of the PHS and PDC users have turned to the 3G-CDMA.Competitive carriers in Japan's history, most of which are ranked KDDI in the third, but since it was deployed CDMA2000 later, and launched in the phone and applications, the last two years new subscribers each quarterThe number is up, so the Japanese market is worth our attention.We can see in the Japanese market and more consumers and businesses are quickly transition from 2G to 3G, now that all the Japanese mobile communications market growth has come from the 3G technology.
From the perspective of the European market, European market over the past almost a single GSM technology-driven market, but in recent years, especially since last year, some of the leading European operators, such as Vodafone started to take some very important stepstoward the deployment of UMTS and WCDMA network direction.Hutchison launched WCDMA service, a European operators put a lot of pressure because they want to provide faster data services, but also to raise their voice services at a lower level of fees that continue to maintain voicethe profitability of services, so that the GSM operators in Europe requires the use of new technology, as compared to GSM network and CDMA network inefficiency, but also does not have enough capacity to support the demand for faster service.Because of Hutchison, the European GSM operators face competitive pressures, have turned to WCDMA.For the Chinese manufacturers in Europe and worldwide manufacturers, new opportunities have emerged in the past in terms of handsets and network infrastructure, mainly European operators and Nokia, Ericsson, Alcatel and Siemens linked, now in Europe there have been launched by non-European mobile phone manufacturers and network infrastructure odds.